1) NO GREXIT IMMINENT
FLASH REPORT
July 13, 2015
KEY TAKEAWAYS
•
It appears there will not be a Greek exit from the Eurozone anytime soon, as Eurozone leaders reached a deal to give
further bailout aid to the embattled country (up to €86 billion), provided Greece's government passes additional
austerity measures. Additionally, the Eurozone will consider steps to make the country's mountain of debt more
manageable, such as extending the time to repay rescue loans (though debt relief appears off the table). This deal
should help Greece, which is experiencing depression-like conditions, avoid outright financial collapse.
•
Even as the crisis has been temporarily averted, challenges linger. The Greek Parliament faces a tough sell at home,
as it must pass punishing austerity measures that voters overwhelmingly rejected in a referendum just a week ago.
These include an increase in the sales tax and pension system reforms. Only then will the European Central Bank
step in with additional funding to allow the country's banks, closed for the past two weeks, to gradually reopen.
•
If the agreement is implemented, investors should be able to put this mess behind them and refocus on the ongoing
recovery in the Eurozone. We believe, broadly speaking, European companies should continue to show fundamental
improvements while benefitting from aggressive central bank easing, low interest rates, and competitive advantages
derived from a devalued currency. And despite the increased volatility that arose from this chapter of Greece's debt
saga, European stock indices are near the same price level that they were a month ago.
EUROZONE STOCK PRICES (as of 07/13/15)
3,800
Negotiations fail
for Greece
bailout
extension
3,700
3,600
Greeks vote
"No" in
referendum
3,500
3,400
3,300
Invest well.
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Greece
defaults on
IMF loan
Euro Stoxx 50 Index
(EUR)
3,200
3,100
Sources: Bloomberg, Morningstar
CONVERGENTWEALTH.COM
Eurozone
deal
reached for
further
bailout
2) DISCLOSURE
Past Performance Is No Guarantee Of Future Performance. Any opinions
expressed are current only as of the time made and are subject to change
without notice. This report may include estimates, projections or other
forward looking statements, however, due to numerous factors, actual
events may differ substantially from those presented. The graphs and
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data and performance information provided to us by one or more
commercial databases. Additionally, please be aware that past
performance is not a guide to the future performance of any manager or
strategy, and that the performance results and historical information
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by events and economic conditions that will not prevail in the
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indicative of the future performance of any strategy, index, fund, manager
or group of managers. All performance numbers shown herein are net of
actual fees and expenses and include the reinvestment of dividends and
other income, as reported by the manager and/or by the commercial
databases involved. While we believe this information to be reliable,
Convergent Wealth Advisors bears no responsibility whatsoever for any
errors or omissions. Index benchmarks contained in this report are
provided so that performance can be compared with the performance of
well-known and widely recognized indices. The volatility of these indices
may be materially different from that of the fund. You cannot invest
directly in an index. Index results assume the re-investment of all dividends
and interest. Moreover, the information provided is not intended to be, and
should not be construed as, investment, legal or tax advice. Nothing
contained herein should be construed as a recommendation or advice to
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