Australia
in 2013-14, and another US$42.3bn is expected to be invested in the
next six years, far more than the US$20bn over the past six years.
The Australian government requires non-resident foreign investors
to buy new-build properties instead of established housing, and
investment interest has been focused on apartments close to
city centres, universities and public transportation networks,
as opposed to detached houses.
Purchases have been concentrated in Sydney and Melbourne,
as well as Brisbane. Seeing opportunities in demand for
Australian housing, Chinese developers have been entering the
Australian market as the Chinese government puts in braking
measures to dampen price gains in the domestic housing market.
China’s anti-corruption drive, combined with Canada’s
cancellation of its investor visa programme in 2014, may have
driven investors with flight capital to flock to Australia in hopes
of a soft landing.
In the aftermath of stock market volatility in China, wealthier
investors are expected to look for a relatively stable alternative
to stocks, and to the Australian property market for a tried-andtrue safe haven in which to park their funds, which could in turn
lead to inbound M&A activity generated by Chinese developers.
Developers need to be wary of the risk of average investors being
unable to undertake new investments or to honour payments for
investments already underway, having been singed in the Chinese
stock market turmoil. Investors attempting to bail out of stocks
may have been stymied by the Chinese government’s market
correction measures, such as the ban preventing shareholders
with stakes of more than five percent in listed firms from selling
for six months. With their share prices taking a hit, Chinalisted real estate companies emerged from the Shanghai share
market tumult with an average debt-to-enterprise value of 75%,
according to Citi, which may reduce acquisitive M&A activity as
developers seek to reduce debt.
Agriculture and agribusiness
With the signing of the ChAFTA, Australian agribusiness targets
look even more compelling to Chinese investors, since the removal
of various tariffs means Australian agricultural products can arrive
in China at a highly competitive cost, potentially generating more
demand and increasing profit margins.
The Chinese government has also expressed interest in backing
Australia’s plan of developing Northern Australia to become
part of Asia’s “food bowl”, displaying increased interest not only
in the agriculture and food processing sector, but also in the
concatenated infrastructure sector, which provides the roads,
dams, air-strips and ports upon which the export of agriculture
and food products depend.
A major risk of investing in agribusiness lies in the unpredictability
of the climate.
Foreign investors unfamiliar with the territory need
to invest more time and funds into acquiring the knowledge and
technology for running agricultural enterprises in the land, or
structure their investments through managed agricultural funds.
Infrastructure
Given their close proximity to major Asian trading hubs, the
privatisations of Australian state-owned ports have been particularly
attractive to Chinese SOEs, as control of such premium ports would
streamline trade logistics and transportation for China’s enterprise
interests in other sectors.
The largest single Chinese investment in 2014 was the acquisition
of construction service provider John Holland. Of high strategic
importance was China Merchants Group’s co-investment with
Hastings Funds Management in an US$1.2bn deal to secure
98-year lease rights to the Port of Newcastle.
Potential buyers and sellers need to be fully informed of
the jurisdiction-specific regulatory issues surrounding M&A
between China and Australia, ensuring satisfactory and timely
completion, so that regulatory uncertainty does not translate
into competitive disadvantage.
Chinese investment in agribusiness is driven by a need to ensure
food security and to maintain safe sources of food products
amid a growing number of scandals and food scares at home.
To tighten its scrutiny of foreign purchases of farmland, the FIRB
lowered its screening threshold from AU$252m (US$179.6m) to
AU$15m (US$10.7m) from 1 March 2015. Australia’s agricultural
exports are placed at a premium for the country’s pristine
reputation in upholding uncompromised food safety standards
and quality.
Contact us
Asia: Violet Ho
vho@kroll.com
+852 2884 7777
Asia: Richard Dailly
rdailly@kroll.com
+65 6645 4521
EMEA: Neil Kirton
nkirton@kroll.com
+44 207 029 5204
Americas: Betsy Blumenthal
bblument@kroll.com
+1 415 743 4825
The information contained herein is based on currently available sources and should be understood to be information of a general nature only.
The information is not intended to be taken as advice with respect to any individual situation and cannot be relied upon as such.
This document
is owned by Kroll and Mergermarket, and its contents, or any portion thereof, may not be copied or reproduced in any form without permission
of Kroll. Clients may distribute for their own internal purposes only.
All deal details and M&A figures quoted are proprietary Mergermarket data unless otherwise stated. M&A figures may include deals that fall outside
Mergermarket’s official inclusion criteria.
All economic data comes from the World Bank unless otherwise stated. All $ symbols refer to US dollars.
Adrian Ng
adrian.ng@mergermarket.com
+852 2158 9743
.