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2015 Market Outlook—continued from page 1
Odds are fairly low, however, as the U.S. simply
isn’t dependent on overseas demand to drive its
economy.
So far, U.S. growth has accelerated in
the face of global jitters.
Interest Rates
Will we get volatility around the Federal Reserve’s
first rate hike in nearly a decade? There are no
guarantees when it comes to Federal Reserve
policy, but if U.S. employment and economic
growth continue at the current pace, the Federal
Reserve has signaled rates will start rising in
2015, although it is doing its best to telegraph
its intentions.
Emerging markets
A stronger dollar and a Federal Reserve that is
expected to begin raising rates could pressure
developing countries that have sold bonds in
greenbacks instead of their local currencies,
forcing them to repay loans in more expensive
dollars.
Foreign reserves could minimize any
pressure, but it’s something that bears watching.
Cyber-attacks
North Korea’s alleged attack on Sony quickly
comes to mind. It’s impossible to forecast,
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but the outside chance of a big event can’t be
completely discounted.
Geopolitical Concerns
War or geopolitical instability has historically
caused short-term volatility in the market.
Heightened uncertainty is not a friend of investors.
The Bottom Line
One really does not know what the future holds,
or how the markets will behave. As an investor it
is important to manage and mitigate risk within a
portfolio and to take the time to recalibrate.
Two
things to consider when managing risk within
a portfolio: First, make sure there is a plan in
place and it is followed when making investment
decisions. Second, be sure to rebalance the
portfolio back to the original allocation on a
regular basis. n
C O N TA C T
Brad Kelley
Principal
Financial Services
701.476.8759
bkelley@eidebailly.com
.