st
each stock over the ten-year period into quartiles, ranging from the 1 quartile exhibiting the lowest level
th
of average annualized volatility to the 4 quartile exhibiting the highest level.
FEBRUARY 24, 2016
Table 1 indicates that over this discrete period, the lower-volatility quartiles generated higher annualized
and risk-adjusted returns, as measured by the Sharpe Ratio. Each company in the index will ultimately
FLEETING OR own,
have to stand on its TIMELESS?
Table 1
demonstrating its capability of
It is very tempting to get caught
generating attractive earnings, strong up in the latest new idea or
invest in the next “hot” industry,
fundamentals, and competitiveness, but over the course of time
but those that exhibited of this type of strategy will be short-lived
the positive results lower
st
volatility (1 quartile) generated an
as a new technology takes over. Research has demonstrated
annualized total return of 10%, while
that over longer periods of
those that had the highest volatility time both momentum-based
th
(4 and low-volatility strategies can generate attractive results.
quartile) generated an annualized
total return of just overinvestors to take a thoughtful and patient
EotM encourages 4%. While
each company will have different
approach that compliments the investment objectives, goals,
Source: Morningstar and Raymond James.
The Sharpe Ratio is a variables that will drive it to have
and risk tolerances, and those
measure of a Fund’s reward per unit of risk. The higher the Sharpe either high or low volatility, for considers how momentum and/or
ratio, the better the portfolio’s risk-adjusted performance. An index companies that strategies may affect his plan.
low volatility are prone to deeper
cannot be directly invested in.
declines, higher returns will be
necessary in order to remain
Table 1 indicates that, over this discrete period, the lowerSO MANY CHOICES, WHAT TO DO
relatively competitive with their lessvolatility quartiles generated higher annualized and riskvolatile peers.
This trend may persist in a similar manner over the course of would like to provide investors with a one-stop solution
EotM time, but as most investors
know, past performance is no indication of future results.
adjusted returns, as measured by the Sharpe Ratio, generating
that provides both the best characteristics of momentum
an annualized total return of 10%, while those that had the
investing coupled with low volatility characteristics.
Fleeting or Timeless
highest volatility (4th quartile) generated an annualized
Unfortunately, a single solution may not be best, as the two
It is very tempting to over 4%. While the latest new factorsinvest in the next “hot” industry, but over the
total return of just get caught up in idiosyncratic idea or drive
strategies traditionally take different skill sets to execute on a
course of time the positive results of this type of strategy will be short-lived as a new technology takes
volatility levels, those companies that are prone to deeper
over. Research has demonstrated that over longer periods of time both momentum-based and low- repeatable basis.
Hope should
consistent, sustainable and
declines will have to generate higher than average returns to
volatility strategies can generate attractive results. EotM encourages our investor to take a thoughtful andof ways that an investor can
not be lost, as there are a variety
patient approach, that marries well with investment objectives, goals, and risk tolerances, and consider
remain relatively competitive with less-volatile peers. This
allocate to both momentum and low-volatility strategies.
how momentum and/or low volatility strategies may help augment his plans.
trend may persist in a similar manner over the course of time,
Regardless of the approach that an investor ultimately takes,
but as most investors know, past
So Many Choices, What To Do performance is no indication
he should remain cognizant that there is no single one size fits
of future results.
all solution.
EotM would like to provide investors with a one-stop solution that provides both the best characteristics of
momentum investing coupled with low volatility characteristics.
Unfortunately, a single solution may not
be best, as the two strategies traditionally take different skill sets to execute on a consistent, sustainable
and repeatable basis. Hope should not be lost, as there are a variety of ways that an investor can
allocate to both momentum and low-volatility strategies including, exchange traded funds, mutual funds,
and separately managed accounts. That being said, Mutual Fund Research & Marketing (“MFRM”)
currently NOTE
SIDE has several strategies on the Highly Recommended Funds List that historically have had lower
levels of volatility relative to their peer groups and many commonly followed indexes.
This includes the
The benefits of positive momentum exist outside of the world of finance, whether it is an album continuously topping the
BlackRock Multi-Asset Income Fund, the Federated Strategic Value Dividend Fund, and the Western
charts, a movie preserving its run of leading the box office, or a sports team maintaining a winning streak. Typically, the positive
Asset Total Return Unconstrained Fund. While not on the Highly Recommended Funds List, MFRM
momentum is coupled with the fact that the artist, actor, or athlete consistently performs at a high
believes that the Nuveen Symphony Low Volatility and the SEI U.S.
Managed Volatility Funds also merit level, not high one day, low
the next, and
consideration. so on. This in turn has led to fans following musicians such as the Beatles for over 50 years, the Star Wars series
nearly 40 years, and teams such as the Green Bay Packers and New York Yankees for even longer.
Investors should carefully consider the investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses of mutual funds and ETFs before investing.
The
prospectus contains this and other information about mutual funds and ETFs. The prospectus is available by contacting the fund family and should
be read carefully before investing.
The views expressed in this newsletter are subject to change, and no forecasts can be guaranteed. Information contained in this report was received from
sources believed to be reliable, but accuracy is not guaranteed.
Material is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute recommendations,
investment advice or an indication of trading intent. Investing always involves risk and you may incur a profit or loss. No investment strategy can guarantee
success.
Past performance does not guarantee future results.
There is no assurance these trends will continue.
Raymond James & Associates, Inc. member New York Stock Exchange/SIPC. Raymond James Financial Services, Inc., member FINRA/SIPC.
Investment products are not deposits, not FDIC/NCUA insured, not insured by any government agency, not back guaranteed, subject to risk and may lose value
.