Asset Management
Fixed income insights
First quarter 2017
Portfolio positioning
Fund updates: first quarter of 2017
Interest rates/duration: Holding duration towards the lower end of
relative benchmark range for now, with a bias towards returning to
neutral position as fiscal and monetary policy evolve; underweight
Treasuries, favoring non-government sectors instead
BMO TCH Core Plus Bond Fund: The Fund outperformed in the quarter with
sector and quality selection contributing to relative performance as the
Fund remained underweight Treasuries and overweight credit. Credit was
the best performing fixed income sector, benefitting the Fund, as spreads
tightened and markets priced in a higher level of future growth. Security
selection within corporate credit further added to outperformance for the
period. With rates declining mildly in the first quarter, the Fund’s below
benchmark duration detracted modestly from relative returns.
Investment
grade corporate floating rate notes did not keep pace with the performance
of broader credit for the quarter, but benefitted from the Fed raising the Fed
Funds rate in March.
Credit: Global demand for U.S. fixed income remains strong; Broadlyspeaking, U.S. corporate balance sheets have managed the credit cycle
well; the ever-evolving US political news flow continues presenting
upward pressure on volatility, creating opportunities as sectors and
subsectors risks are repriced; credit spread compression to near
historical averages suggest a more balanced approach to risk
Mortgages: U.S.
agency MBS to realize continued support from Fed
reinvestment for the time being, but discussions regarding the Fed
balance sheet and political rhetoric around the agencies justifies
greater caution as the year progresses; agency MBS remain a relative
safe haven during periods of global uncertainty
High yield (HY) and emerging markets (EM): Recent market
volatility has created additional bottom-up opportunities across the
credit spectrum; HY/EM spreads reflect more concern over global
uncertainties, though recent spread widening has been too modest to
create compelling valuations at a sector level
BMO TCH Corporate Income Fund: Security selection within corporate
credit led to outperformance for the period. In particular, names within
the technology, chemicals and metals & mining sectors added value, while
names within the retail sector detracted from performance. The overweight
to corporate versus non-corporate detracted from performance in the period,
though the underweight to utilities was additive as that was the sole credit
sector with negative excess returns.
With rates declining mildly in the first
quarter, the Fund’s below benchmark duration detracted modestly from
relative returns.
BMO TCH Intermediate Income Fund: The Fund’s outperformance was
significantly impacted by a litigation settlement from a crisis-era investment
received during the quarter. Overweight credit positioning contributed to
performance as it was the best performing fixed income sector, however, the
overweight to mortgage backed securities (MBS) detracted modestly from
relative returns. The Fund’s lower duration profile detracted modestly from
performance during the period.
Security selection within corporate credit
added further to outperformance for the period.
BMO TCH Emerging Markets Bond Fund: The Fund underperformed in the
period largely due to the diversification to quasi-sovereign and corporate
debt, which underperformed the sovereign benchmark. Country selection
was positive during the period. In particular, the contribution from allocations
to Mexico is noteworthy given its position in the epicenter of recent political
rhetoric.
While Trump’s election was initially perceived negatively for Mexican
debt, the Fund’s positioning was additive to performance for the quarter.
All investments involve risk, including the possible loss of principal.
Keep in mind that as interest rates rise, prices for bonds with fixed interest rates may fall. This may have an adverse effect on a portfolio.
Foreign investing involves special risks due to factors such as increased volatility, currency fluctuation and political uncertainties. High yield bond funds may have higher yields and are subject to greater credit, market
and interest rate risk than higher-rated fixed-income securities.
Keep in mind that as interest rates rise, prices for bonds with fixed interest rates may fall. This may have an adverse effect on a Fund’s portfolio.
Investments cannot be made in an index.
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