Consideration 3: Variability of
Investment Returns
When considering how much your investments
may earn over the course of your retirement,
you might think you could base assumptions on
historical stock market averages, as you may
have done when projecting how many years you
needed to reach your retirement savings goal. But
once you start taking income from your portfolio,
you no longer have the luxury of time to recover
from possible market losses, as retirees and nearretirees during this latest market downturn have
experienced firsthand.
For example, if a portfolio worth $250,000 incurred
successive annual declines of 12% and 7%, its
value would be reduced to $204,600. It would
require a gain of nearly 23% the next year to restore
its value to $250,000.3 When a retiree's need for
annual withdrawals is added to poor performance,
the result can be a much earlier depletion of assets
than would have occurred if the portfolio returns
had increased steadily. While it's possible that your
portfolio will not experience any losses and will even
grow to generate more income than you expected,
it's safer to assume some setbacks will occur.
Talk to your financial professional.
He or she can
help you determine a withdrawal strategy that can
help minimize the drain on your portfolio and help
maximize your life in retirement.
Source: Center for Disease Control, March 2012 (based on
2009 preliminary data).
1
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, January 2013.
2
Example is hypothetical and for illustrative purposes only.
Your results will vary.
3
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