1) Top Six Investment Themes for 2016
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Diversification is key – selecting the
right mix of assets for a portfolio is
more important than the individual
investments themselves. Critical
steps for any successful investment
strategy are establishing and adhering
to a broadly diversified strategic asset
allocation framework that appropriately
reflects one’s desired return, risk
tolerance, and investment time horizon.
Higher rates may be inevitable, but
it can be a positive development
for both stocks and bonds. Both the
Fed and the markets are projecting
a gradual pace for rate hikes in the
coming years. A slower, gradual
tightening cycle has historically been
supportive of equities. Meanwhile,
higher yields translate into higher
interest income on bonds, which will
boost returns over time and can help
buffer against lower bond prices.
Despite a low-yield environment,
fixed income continues to play a
critical role in a well-diversified
portfolio. Investors can take solace
in the fact that the primary benefits of
their fixed-income portfolio – protection
and diversification – remain intact.
Bonds remain an effective diversifier to
stocks and other risk assets, providing
a source of volatility reduction and
stability to an investment portfolio.
Moreover, municipal bonds look
attractive for many investors – not only
those in the highest tax brackets.
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The backdrop for equities is
positive, particularly relative to
cash or high-quality bonds. While
we anticipate that volatility may be
more prevalent in the next few years
when compared to the last few,
recent economic data out of the U.S.
remain supportive of equities while
market valuations based on forward
earnings appear reasonable.
The case for international equities
remains strong for investors with
a long-term time horizon. The
combination of attractive valuations,
a supportive global economic
backdrop, and the ongoing and
aggressive monetary stimulus efforts
from central banks around the
globe paint a compelling picture for
international equities and a longerterm investment opportunity for
patient investors.
Keep emotions at bay by
maintaining a long-term focus and
sticking to a plan. History has taught
us that there will always be more
questions than answers about the
future. Instead of speculating about
the unknown, investors with a wellconceived plan, discipline, and the
patience to navigate through both
calm and rough waters should be
able to achieve their goals.