long/short equities, managed futures and fixed income arbitrage.
Why? Basically, because adding alternatives to a portfolio
of traditional assets may potentially lower risk and increase
returns. A clear understanding of how this happens requires
study of alternative strategy returns and their correlation to the
returns of stocks and bonds.
The chart to the right highlights alternative strategy returns
and their correlation to equities during bear and bull market
conditions. Notice that the Alternative Average, which
represents a blend of these strategies, acts like bonds in the
bear market cycle but responds like equities when the bull
market cycle returns.
Bear Market
Bull Market
April 2000 to March 2003
Performance
Correlation
Return
Risk
S&P 500
Strategies
April 2003 to March 2006
Performance
Correlation
Return
Risk
S&P 500
TIPS
12.0%
5.3%
-85%
4.8%
5.2%
20%
REITs
13.4%
14.6%
62%
34.0%
18.9%
46%
Long/Short Currency
14.3%
5.3%
35%
11.7%
7.8%
37%
Commodities
10.6%
14.3%
-12%
34.9%
17.0%
-31%
Gold
6.4%
11.5%
-5%
20.0%
13.6%
16%
Private Equity
-9.6%
6.0%
82%
27.4%
9.4%
62%
Long/Short Equity
-3.3%
5.3%
57%
15.3%
6.9%
78%
Managed Futures
11.3%
16.9%
-77%
5.9%
12.7%
57%
Fixed Income Arbitrage
7.3%
2.6%
-34%
4.9%
3.2%
55%
Alternative Average
6.9%
9.1%
2%
17.6%
10.5%
38%
LB Aggregate Bond
9.8%
3.7%
-85%
2.9%
3.6%
9%
MSCI EAFE
-19.3%
14.1%
83%
31.7%
17.8%
94%
S&P 500
-16.1%
16.6%
100%
17.2%
12.2%
100%
April 2000 – March 2006
25%
REITS
Commodites
20%
ALTERNATIVE AVERAGE
15%
RETURN
Long/Short Currency
10%
Gold
Managed Futures
TIPS
Private Equity
Fixed Income
Arbitrage
100% Bonds
5%
Long/Short Equity
60% Equities & 40% Bonds
0%
100% Equities
RISK
-5%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
18%
20%
Combining assets which do not exhibit a high correlation to one another gives investors an opportunity to reduce risk without
sacrificing return. To realize the benefit of diversification, a portfolio’s underlying asset classes must behave differently in varying
market conditions.
The graph above contrasts alternative strategy risk and return with that of the equity and bond frontier.
The graph also illustrates the response of a 60/40 equity/bond portfolio as an alternative strategy is incorporated: the blue line shows
the portfolio moving away from its original 60/40 equity/bond allocation toward the Alternative Average, in 10% increments. This
shows that adding alternatives to a portfolio can increase diversification, boost returns, and help manage risk, because alternative
strategies are not correlated to stocks and bonds. If the investor’s goal is to secure higher returns at a lower risk, then integrating
alternatives into a traditional portfolio should help reduce portfolio volatility and improve the odds of preserving capital over the
long term.
Disclosure
Performance displayed represents past performance, which is no guarantee of future results.The information provided here is for informational purposes only, is not
intended as investment advice and should not be construed as a recommendation with regard to investment decisions.
Source for charts and graphs: Morningstar,
Bloomberg, Deutsche Bank calculated by Arrow Investment Advisor, LLC. Equity returns are based on the S&P 500 Index, which includes the reinvestment of
dividends. Bond returns include the reinvestment of dividends are based on two data sets: Lehman Aggregate Bond Index and Ibbotson’s Long- Term Government
Bonds portfolio.The indices are unmanaged and are not available for direct investment.The frontier returns assumes re-investment of all dividends but do not reflect
any management fees, transaction costs or expenses.
.