Duration Dilemma

Arrow Funds

Description

13 20 10 20 07 20 04 20 01 20 98 19 95 19 92 19 89 19 86 19 19 83 One solution is removing duration Clearly, fixed income yields aren’t what they used to be. from the equation completely. Fixed Over the last 30 years, the 10-Year U.S. Treasury Note income is not the only source of yield. yield has plummeted from a high of 13.3% in May 1984 The current low-rate environment for to a low of 2.2% in July 2012. bonds, combined with the fear of rising rate spikes, has increased demand for 14% alternative sources of yield. Traditional U.S.

Interest Rates (10-Year U.S. Treasury Note) equities have a strong history of paying 12% dividends, as do more complex asset classes such as real estate investment 10% trusts and energy-related master limited partnerships. With competitive yields 8% in the 6-9% range, these non-bond investments may provide a nice change 6% of pace from lower-yielding U.S.

fixed income portfolios. 4% Another alternative for fixed income investors to consider is taking more of a 2% global approach. Some other countries offer competitive yields in corporate 0% and government bonds (sovereign debt) without being as tied to the U.S. economic environment.

Adding these elements may Performance displayed represents past performance, which is no help to address the duration dilemma and guarantee of future results. Source: U.S. Treasury/Bloomberg. perhaps improve the overall diversification of an investor’s portfolio.

But which ones will perform the best? There is no way to know. Some investors are choosing to use an equally weighted approach with equal exposure to all of the categories. A diversified, equally weighted strategy helps to maintain exposure to all of the categories in an unbiased way. The table below shows how some of these asset categories performed during rising interest rate environments since 1998, including an equally weighted combination of each. Alternative Sources of Yield: Rising Rate Periods (Total Returns, Avg.) Jan 1998 through Dec 2013 # of Days Global Equity MLPs REITs Rising Rate Periods 878 7.1% 8.2% 17.2% 15.2% 2.9% 10.2% Total Period 3,853 6.9% 10.2% 12.0% 11.1% 7.5% 9.1% Sovereign Corporate Debt High Yield Equal Weighted Average Performance displayed represents past performance, which is no guarantee of future results.

Rising Rate Periods are based on the U.S. Federal Reserve’s “Fed Funds Target Rate” from 1998 through 2013. Each representative index listed is considered broad-based benchmark of the associated asset class: Global Equity (Dow Jones Global World Index), MLPs (Alerian MLP Index), REITs (MSCI US REIT Index), Sovereign Debt (BarCap Investment Grade Sovereign Index), Global Corporate Bonds (BarCap Aggregate High Yield Index).

Equal Weighted Average is a 20% allocation to each of the five categories, rebalanced quarterly. Index performance assumes reinvestment of dividend, but does not include fees. Indexes are not available for direct investment.

Sources: FactSet/Bloomberg (calculated by Arrow). Performance displayed represents past performance, which is no guarantee of future results. All investment methodologies have risks, both general and product-specific, including the risk of loss of principal investments. The information provided is intended to be general in nature and should not be construed as investment advice. This information is subject to change at anytime, based on market volatility and other conditions, and should not be considered as a recommendation of any specific security. Source: FactSet, calculated by Arrow.

Arrow Funds are distributed by Archer Distributors, LLC (member FINRA). AD-031214 .