A Management Tool
In a sports tournament, a team’s ultimate goal is to win. Similar to a team’s management, a portfolio manager may increase
or decrease allocations to existing positions and constantly monitor different asset classes to identify emerging trends.
Likewise, a relative strength portfolio manager uses a tournament approach to narrow a portfolio to a group of the strongest
securities. In the first round of the tournament, securities are grouped and compared by within their asset class to identify
the top-performing representatives. In the second round, relative strength is used to compare the strength of each asset class
to allocate larger (strong relative strength) and smaller (weak relative strength) positions to these asset classes within the
short, intermediate or long-term measurements
U.S.
Equities
International
either individually or combined, and they
Relative Strength
Developed:
Large Cap Growth
can run this test as frequently as they deem
Australia France
Large Cap Value
Tournament
Germany Italy
necessary.
Mid Cap Growth
Relative Strength Tournament
Mid Cap Value
Small Cap Growth
Small Cap Value
Sectors:
-Consumer Goods
-Financial Services
-Health Care ...etc.
Performance in the Market Returns1
60/40
Benchmark
Relative
Strength Team
1 Month
0.50%
2.50%
3 Months
3.70%
8.00%
1 Year
18.00%
12.50%
3 Years
-0.10%
8.60%
5 Years
2.90%
13.00%
Japan
U.K.
Emerging:
Brazil
China
Isreal
India
Mexico S. Africa
S.Korea Taiwan
Thailand ...etc.
The Final
Portfolio
Fixed Income
Alternatives
Commodities:
-Aggregated
-Agriculture
-Energy
-Industrial Metals
-Precious Metals
-Softs
Currencies
REITs
TIPS
Corporate Bonds:
-Short Term
-Intermediate
-Long Term
-High Yeild
U.S. Teasuries:
-T-Bills
-Treasury Notes
-Govt.
Bonds
Govt. Agencies
Relative Strength Team: The top asset classes
in the market performance table (pg. 1) using a
combination of applicable indexes measured by
intermediate- to long-term relative strength.
A Long-term Focus
It’s quite rare to see a sports team repeat as champions year after year.
Likewise, an investor’s portfolio doesn’t lead the market
year after year. A manager who relies on relative strength to identify portfolio positions will occasionally underperform the
market when trends are dramatically changing—the security market is cyclical and sometimes the relative strength measurement
period may not align with those short-terms changes.
Historically, there tend to be periods
of underperformance of relative
strength investing followed by periods
of strong outperformance. The
disciplined relative strength approach
helps investors identify and combine
the strongest securities, building a
winning team over the long term.
Relative Strength Team vs.
Market Benchmark
35.0%
30.0%
25.0%
20.0%
15.0%
10.0%
5.0%
0.0%
-5.0%
Rolling Averages
-10.0%
1 Year
3 Years
5
-9
3
ec
-9
6
D
ec
-9
7
D
ec
-9
8
D
ec
-9
9
D
ec
-0
0
D
ec
-0
1
D
ec
-0
2
D
ec
-0
3
D
ec
-0
4
D
ec
-0
5
D
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-0
6
D
ec
-0
7
D
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-0
8
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-0
9
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-9
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-9
4
D
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-9
2
1
-9
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D
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-9
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-8
0
9
-15.0%
D
The chart to the right
illustrates the annualized
performance difference of a
relative strength approach
versus a 60/40 market
benchmark over one- and
three-year holding periods.
Past performance is not indicative of future returns. Historical data is used for statistical illustration purposes only
and should not be used as a predictive measure for the future return expectations of any investment. The information
provided is intended to be general in nature and should not be construed as investment advice.
The information is subject to change
(based on market fluctuation and other conditions) and should not be construed as a recommendation of any specific security or
investment product. It was prepared without regard for specific circumstances and objectives of any individual investor. The 60/40
Market Benchmark is 60% S&P 500 Index and 40% Barclays Aggregate Bond Index.
Data source: Morningstar/Ibbotson and Bloomberg
as of 12/31/2009. Northern Lights Distributors, LLC, member FINRA.
0392-NLD-3/23/2010
.